Louisiana-Lafayette vs Louisiana-Monroe 11/3/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Louisiana-Lafayette winning 40% of simulations, and Louisiana-Monroe 60% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Louisiana-Lafayette commits fewer turnovers in 28% of simulations and they go on to win 56% when they take care of the ball. Louisiana-Monroe wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Terrance Broadway is averaging 268 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Kolton Browning is averaging 309 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LAMON -7.5
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